Only two weeks remain in the 2026 NRL season.
There are 16 games left.
With various positional competitions still unfolding, the shape of the top eight could change before the finals begin.
On Monday, we explored the best and worst-case outcomes for every team in the coming weeks, but now let's analyze each game in Round 26, detailing what each match means for the final standings.
Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos
Both the Storm and Broncos have been eliminated from finals contention. A win for the Storm could, in theory, allow them to surpass the Sea Eagles, but they trail significantly on points differential.
The Broncos, meanwhile, are out of the race for the wooden spoon. A victory here would place them level with the Tigers and Eels on the ladder.
Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons
The Sea Eagles are the only team still in the finals chase, albeit with slim chances. They are ahead of the Bulldogs, Cowboys, and Rabbitohs in points differential, but must beat the Dragons to tie with the Bulldogs and, for now, close in on the Rabbitohs and Cowboys.
The Dragons can still escape the wooden spoon, but it would take a remarkable turnaround. They are 131 points behind the Titans in points differential, meaning they need a huge win to keep a faint hope of avoiding last place.
Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs
The Panthers are caught in a fierce race for the minor premiership, tied with the Roosters and Warriors, boasting a superior points differential than the tri-colours, yet one point behind the Warriors. Winning is crucial for them.