The North Queensland Cowboys head into the 2026 NRL season under significant scrutiny with their coach's position appearing precarious if results don't improve.
Talent remains on the list but persistent inconsistency has defined Todd Payten's tenure in Townsville and is the club's chief concern.
Although the board publicly backs Payten, private patience is likely limited if performances fail to rise.
Ultimately the Cowboys fell short of expectations in 2025, a recurring problem since Payten took charge.
Heading into 2026 there are changes in the squad but few wholesale alterations beyond a reshuffle of the spine.
One major switch up the middle will be the most notable alteration to the playing group next year.
Otherwise familiar faces form the core and it will be Payten's task to refine selections and drive improvement across the team.
The challenge is to convert potential into consistency and climb the ladder in 2026.
Below is the projected arrival and departure list for the Cowboys.
Ins: Matthew Lodge (Manly Sea Eagles, 2026), Soni Luke (Penrith Panthers, 2026), Reed Mahoney (Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, 2028), James Walsh (The Dolphins, 2028).
Outs: Emarly Bitungane (London Broncos), Tom Duffy (Brisbane Broncos), Karl Lawton (Hull Kingston Rovers), Nicholas Lenaz (Townsville Blackhawk), Jordan McLean (retired), Reece Robson (Sydney Roosters), Semi Valemei (Castleford Tigers).
Off-contract at end of 2026: John Bateman, Braidon Burns, Tom Chester, Jake Clifford, Harrison Edwards, Zac Herdegen, Mason Kira, Kaiden Lahrs, Matthew Lodge, Soni Luke, Sam McIntyre, Kai O'Donnell, Jaxson Paulo, Jaxon Purdue, Murray Taulagi.