Why Every Finalist Can -- and Can't -- Win the 2025 NRL Premiership

The 2025 NRL season has reached the finals stage, and with various factors like injuries, suspensions, and fluctuating form, the competition is more open than ever. While the Roosters are in remarkable form and could potentially clinch the title from eighth place, the Raiders have their own strategies in play. The Broncos, despite missing key halfbacks, still managed to secure a Top 4 finish. However, questions linger regarding the Storm's numerous absences. Both the Bulldogs and Warriors seem to be struggling, while the Sharks and Panthers linger in the lower part of the Top 8.

Canberra Raiders

Why they CAN win the premiership

The Canberra Raiders are arguably the best team in the NRL at this moment. While critics point to their favorable schedule and minimal games against fellow top-eight teams, it's important to highlight that Canberra has emerged victorious against many other finals-bound clubs. Their strategic recruitment and development have positioned them with elite depth across most positions, making them well-equipped to handle the loss of any star players while still being in contention for the title. It's been a lengthy wait since 1994, but all signs suggest this could be their year.

Why they CAN'T win the premiership

The Raiders present a unique challenge in the league with their exceptional capability for spontaneous, second-phase plays. They often score points in seemingly dire situations through sheer determination. However, examining three critical victories against top teams like the Storm, Panthers, and Sharks reveals a worrying trend. Each of these wins was secured in thrilling last-minute moments when defeat appeared imminent for coach Ricky Stuart's squad. This raises the question: can such dramatic finishes be sustained? Likely not, yet past trends suggest otherwise as they continue to pull off unexpected victories.

Melbourne Storm